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Analysis: Lagarde's speech increased the market's bet to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. In December, the European Central Bank lowered its economic forecast and inflation forecast. At the press conference, European Central Bank President Lagarde paid attention to the downside risks of economic growth, especially mentioning that trade friction may put pressure on economic growth, and also mentioned that they discussed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. Therefore, the atmosphere of the whole meeting is biased towards doves. The market then increased its bet on a 50 basis point rate cut after January. Although the possibility of a sharp interest rate cut in January is stable at 30%, the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut in March has increased from 30% before the meeting to 40%, and the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut in April has increased from 0% to 5%.Insiders: Incorporating national debt and index funds into the scope of personal pension products is expected to increase the scale of deposit. On December 12, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, the General Administration of Financial Supervision and other five departments officially issued the Notice on the Full Implementation of Personal Pension System, which stipulated that national debt should be included in the scope of personal pension products on the basis of existing financial products such as wealth management products, savings deposits, commercial pension insurance and Public Offering of Fund. E Fund believes that the index funds included in personal pension products are mainly broad-based and dividend products, which are also in line with the long-term stable value-added investment goal of pensions. Because the broad-based index reflects the overall performance of a certain type of market, covering a wide range of industries, with a large number of constituent stocks and scattered risks, the pension investment time is often as long as several decades. In a market with healthy and sustainable economic development prospects and long-term upward trends, the broad-based index can help pension investors share the fruits of economic growth and obtain long-term stable returns. It is reported that with the inclusion of national debt in the scope of personal pension products, it is widely expected that this move will further increase the scale of personal pension payment. (per warp net)European Central Bank President Lagarde: Eurozone banks remain resilient.

The yield of German 2-year government bonds fell by 3 basis points to 1.92%, the lowest since December 3.Royal Bank of Canada: The European Central Bank may move towards negative real interest rate. Royal Bank of Canada BlueBay Asset Management said that the European Central Bank may cut the interest rate below 2% next year, which the agency estimated to be a short-term neutral interest rate. Kaspar Hense, senior portfolio manager of the institution, said in a report that the core inflation rate is expected to be around 2.5% in the first half of 2025, which means that the real interest rate will be negative. He said that under the influence of unfavorable factors such as trade, continuous competitive pressure from other countries and financial problems, this should play a moderate supporting role in the economy.Central Economic Work Conference: Promoting new urbanization and overall rural revitalization, and promoting the integrated development of urban and rural areas. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting pointed out that it is necessary to promote new urbanization and comprehensive rural revitalization as a whole and promote the integrated development of urban and rural areas. Strictly observe the red line of cultivated land and strictly manage the balance of cultivated land occupation and compensation. We will ensure the stable production and supply of grain and important agricultural products, and improve the comprehensive benefits and competitiveness of agriculture. Protect the enthusiasm of grain farmers and major grain producing areas, and improve the grain price formation mechanism. According to local conditions, we will promote the integrated development of developing the industry, strengthening the county and enriching the people, and do everything possible to broaden the channels for farmers to increase their income. Develop a modern metropolitan area, improve the level of modern governance of megacities, and vigorously develop the county economy. (Xinhua News Agency)

European Central Bank President Lagarde: Eurozone banks remain resilient.Alaide: Shareholders, directors and supervisors plan to reduce their shares by no more than 2.48%. Alaide announced that shareholders, directors and supervisors plan to reduce their shares by no more than 2.48%.Central Economic Work Conference: Keep the RMB exchange rate basically stable at a reasonable and balanced level. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting proposed to implement a moderately loose monetary policy. Give full play to the dual functions of the total amount and structure of monetary policy tools, reduce the RRR and interest rates in a timely manner, maintain sufficient liquidity, and match the scale of social financing and the growth of money supply with the expected goals of economic growth and overall price level. Keep the RMB exchange rate basically stable at a reasonable and balanced level. Explore and expand the macro-prudential and financial stability functions of the central bank, innovate financial instruments, and maintain the stability of the financial market.